Macro-modelling and prediction of epidemic spread at community level

Modelling the spread of AIDS epidemic with vertical transmission

This paper considers a non-linear mathematical model for HIV epidemic that spreads in a variable size population through both horizontal and vertical transmission. The equilibrium points of the model system are found and their stability is investigated. The model exhibits two equilibria namely, the disease-free and the endemic equilibrium. It is found that if the basic reproduction number R0 < ...

Navigating the Hindrances Arising at Macro and Micro-level from Practicality of Transformative Pedagogy

The present study intends to probe the impediments for the practicality of Critical language pedagogy (CLP) in higher education system of Iran. To do this, 20 Iranian university instructors, holding Ph.D. degrees in TEFL, were asked to read a passage reflecting the main characteristics of transformative pedagogy. To explore the main obstacles, they were invited for a semi-structured interview. ...

Epidemic Spread in Adaptive Social Networks with Community Structure

When an epidemic spreads in a population, individuals may adaptively change the structure of their social contact network in response. We study the spread of epidemics in an adaptive network with community structure. Community structure is a characteristic of social networks that has been neglected in previous adaptive network epidemic models. We model the effect of heterogeneous communities on...

A Study on the Causes of Corruption Control at the Macro Level Based on Fuzzy Logic

Corruption as one of the realities of today's society has had unprecedented growth in the administrative, political and economic systems of the world and according to the International Transparency Institute, no region or country in the world is immune to corruption. In this article, with theoretical speculations, we are looking for a comparative study of the necessary and sufficient conditions...

Developing Macro-level Collision Prediction Models to Evaluate